Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 0.003655 0.003993 0.004354 0.004771 0.005239 0.005750 0.006352
2025-11-09 0.003089 0.003563 0.004107 0.004781 0.005601 0.006573 0.007826
2025-11-16 0.002728 0.003261 0.003900 0.004731 0.005799 0.007142 0.008990
2025-11-23 0.002448 0.003006 0.003698 0.004635 0.005892 0.007550 0.009961
2025-11-30 0.002287 0.002875 0.003628 0.004684 0.006157 0.008190 0.011303
2025-12-07 0.002189 0.002812 0.003634 0.004824 0.006548 0.009032 0.013037
2025-12-14 0.002037 0.002663 0.003507 0.004761 0.006635 0.009435 0.014148
2025-12-21 0.001895 0.002514 0.003366 0.004662 0.006651 0.009721 0.015099
2025-12-28 0.001786 0.002403 0.003268 0.004613 0.006734 0.010112 0.016268
2026-01-04 0.001711 0.002335 0.003227 0.004643 0.006938 0.010713 0.017883
2026-01-11 0.001620 0.002237 0.003132 0.004581 0.006985 0.011052 0.019065
2026-01-18 0.001543 0.002155 0.003056 0.004541 0.007062 0.011446 0.020402
2026-01-25 0.001460 0.002062 0.002962 0.004474 0.007099 0.011796 0.021765
2026-02-01 0.001401 0.002003 0.002917 0.004484 0.007273 0.012427 0.023843
2026-02-08 0.001335 0.001928 0.002843 0.004438 0.007341 0.012859 0.025567
2026-02-15 0.001266 0.001845 0.002749 0.004349 0.007321 0.013114 0.026934
2026-02-22 0.001229 0.001811 0.002732 0.004394 0.007554 0.013909 0.029749
2026-03-01 0.001211 0.001805 0.002762 0.004523 0.007963 0.015125 0.033899
2026-03-08 0.001160 0.001743 0.002692 0.004465 0.007993 0.015524 0.035996
2026-03-15 0.001106 0.001674 0.002608 0.004374 0.007945 0.015740 0.037639
2026-03-22 0.001064 0.001622 0.002551 0.004329 0.007990 0.016175 0.040019
2026-03-29 0.001037 0.001594 0.002532 0.004356 0.008189 0.017003 0.043798
2026-04-05 0.000998 0.001544 0.002472 0.004299 0.008201 0.017376 0.046249